Search results for "Credit channel"
showing 5 items of 5 documents
Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate During the Asian Crisis: Identification Through Heteroscedasticity
2003
This paper examines whether a monetary policy tightening (i.e., an increase in the domestic interest rate) was successful in defending the exchange rate from speculative pressures during the Asian financial crisis. We estimate a bivariate VECM for four Asian countries, and improve upon existing studies in two important ways. First, by using a long data span we are able to compare the effects of an interest rate rise on the nominal exchange rate during tranquil and turbulent periods. Second, we take into account the endogeneity of interest rates and identify the system by exploiting the heteroscedasticity properties of the relevant time series, following Rigobon (2002). We find that while ti…
Stock Market Bubbles and Monetary Policy Effectiveness
2016
In this paper we provide evidence on the response of stock prices to monetary policy shocks, but conditioning the analysis to the direction of the monetary policy surprises and to the business conditions. We follow a two steps approach: First we use the SVAR approach to identify monetary policy shocks; and then we conduct regression analyses of contemporary stock market returns and monetary policy shocks in order to extract the implicit relationship between these variables in the four scenarios defined. Our results show that monetary policy do not impact on stock market returns in a significant form in the scenario defined by a positive shock and an expansion period, coinciding the poor eff…
Interest Rates and Net Interest Margins: The Impact of Monetary Policy
2017
In this chapter, we examine the determinants of bank net interest margin, focusing on the effect of interest rates, and thus monetary policy decisions. The analysis is carried with a panel of banks from 32 OECD countries over the period 2003–2014. The results show a quadratic relationship between net interest margins and interest rates, implying that the variation of the latter has a greater effect when interest rates are low. An important policy implication of the results is that there is a trade-off between economic growth and financial stability associated with the impact of expansionary monetary policy when the level of interest rates is very low. As a result, if the current scenario of…
Interest rates, expectations and the credibility of the Bank of Spain
1995
The purpose of the paper is to pinpoint the date of the change of monetary policy regime which occurred in Spain during the year 1984, when it moved away from controlling monetary aggregates towards interest rate targeting. The most likely date for the change is estimated and, surprisingly, there is evidence that agents learned about the new intermediate target quite rapidly.A week after the change, the term structure of interest rates showed how market agents attributed much more informational content to interest rate changes than they had previously. Two types of transitions are tried: a one-step and a gradual logistic swithing function.
Monetary policy and exchange rate dynamics in the Spanish economy
1999
As the Spanish economy gets more integrated in international markets, the real exchange rate becomes a key determinant of the monetary transmission. In this paper we trace out the dynamic response of prices, output and the exchange rate following a monetary policy shock. We estimate a structural VAR model whose identification scheme is based on the long run properties common to a large class of models. The results suggest that a small model with efficient asset markets plus nominal inertia and long run monetary neutrality, captures the essential features of the monetary transmission mechanism in Spain. The interest rate shock is well identified and the exchange rate overshoots its long run …